Sunday Show Roundup: McCain's Bleak Week
tags:From YT: Time's Mark Halperin has declared that John McCain "wins the week." Which week he's referring to is anybody's guess, because the prevailing consensus on this past week of financial turmoil is that John McCain lost badly.








Stumble This







The bobble-head bounce!
Why am I not surprised?
The biggest fluctuations their market is showing at this point are Ohio and Virginia going back and forth between the two candidates, but even when McCain has them, Obama wins the electoral college by 8 votes. Click the above link to see the predicted electoral college outcomes.
I don't know about the polls, but the futures markets (where people have to put their money where their mouths are) are more accurate predictors anyway, and http://www.intrade.com/ at the time of writing gives Obama a 52% vs. McCains 47% chance of winning.
The biggest fluctuations their market is showing at this point are Ohio and Virginia going back and forth between the two candidates, but even when McCain has them, Obama wins the electoral college by 8 votes. Click the above link to see the predicted electoral college outcomes.
I didn't realize they had a state-by-state prediction market.
If someone wanted to gamble on this election (and I'm getting sorely tempted to), I'd say buy stock in Virginia -- Obama is more likely to win that than Nevada, IMO.
I didn't realize they had a state-by-state prediction market.
If someone wanted to gamble on this election (and I'm getting sorely tempted to), I'd say buy stock in Virginia -- Obama is more likely to win that than Nevada, IMO.
====================================================
I'd say buy stock in Diebold or ES&S ftw!:
http://www.videosift.com/video/From-The-Programmers-Mouth-How-The-2000-Election-Was-Fixed
http://www.videosift.com/video/The-architect-of-the-Sarasota-FL-13-stolen-election
http://www.videosift.com/video/Hacking-Democracy
http://www.videosift.com/video/Dan-Rather-Reports-Trouble-with-Touchscreens
http://www.videosift.com/video/Sarasota-Elections-2006
http://www.videosift.com/video/Invisible-Ballots-A-Temptation-for-Electronic-Voting-Fraud
http://www.videosift.com/video/Broken-Government-Electronic-Voting-Machines
http://www.videosift.com/video/How-Fox-News-Killed-John-Kerry-in-2004
http://www.videosift.com/video/Uncounted-The-New-Math-of-American-Elections
http://www.videosift.com/video/PBS-NOW-Republicans-illegal-use-of-Voter-Caging-in-2004
http://www.videosift.com/video/Fox-News-Rigged-Focus-Groups
http://www.videosift.com/video/Hack-a-US-Election-in-3-E-Z-steps-with-your-friend-Diebold
http://www.videosift.com/video/New-Hampshire-Primary-Sham-Chain-of-Custody
http://www.videosift.com/video/Yet-another-documentary-showing-stolen-broken-elections
http://www.videosift.com/video/Votergate
http://www.videosift.com/video/E-Voting-Machine-Maker-Admits-Miscounts
http://www.videosift.com/video/Stealing-America-Vote-by-Vote
http://www.videosift.com/video/Voting-Machine-Being-Compromised-by-UCSBs-Security-Group
... there was also an amazing newscast report video that showed the new electronic voting machines in California were decertified by some officials. This video has been stripped off of youtube several months and I haven't been able to find it since.
I did find this interesting article about a voting fraud investigator that found out "too much"...
http://www.bradblog.com/Docs/ClintCurtis_RayLemme_Hust0906.pdf
How?
You can figure that one out.